IMW Electoral Vote Prediction: Final

This is it.

McCain: 205
Obama: 333

The breakdown of the "toss up" states: PA, OH, FL, MI, MN, WI, VA, NV, CO, NM, IN, NH, MO & NC

McCain:

NV
IN
MO
NC

Obama:

VA
PA
MI
MN
WI
CO
NM
NH
FL
OH

Switching from McCain to Obama: OH & FL

Switching from Obama to McCain: None

Earlier projections:

#5 10/22 Obama 286 McCain 252
#4 10/15 Obama 333 McCain 205
#3 10/03 Obama 273 McCain 265
#2 9/26 McCain 279 Obama 259
#1 9/17 McCain 315 Obama 223

And, I also predicted I would do better than Nate Silver. His new most likely outcome is Obama 353 McCain 185.

So he tightened up somewhat at the last second. His most likely had been at 375 all week!